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Venture Capitalists Expect IPO Drought to Ease in 2010; Greentech Offerings to Lead Market Interest, KPMG Study Finds
2008-07-22 08:30:00
Venture Capitalists Expect IPO Drought to Ease in 2010; Greentech Offerings to Lead Market Interest, KPMG Study Finds
Greentech, digital entertainment and mobile to see most investment dollars
in 2009, and Brazil, Russia and Israel gain momentum as attractive
investment regions over next five years
NEW YORK, July 22 /EMWNews/ -- Venture capitalists don't expect to
see a consistent flow of IPOs again until 2010 and report that their firms,
as a result of the slumping US economy and unstable markets, have extended
exit timelines by 12 months or more, according to a recent survey by the
U.S. audit, tax and advisory firm KPMG LLP.
In polling 297 venture capitalists, corporate buyers, bankers and
entrepreneurs, KPMG found that 79 percent of respondents expect a strong
stream of IPO activity to begin in 2010. Forty percent expect a turnaround
in 2010, 24 percent in 2011 and 15 percent in 2012. Interestingly, only
nine percent think activity will pick up in 2009. And 12 percent don't
think future IPO activity will ever reach historic annual average levels
again.
When asked which industry will be on the front end of the IPO
turnaround, greentech was the runaway favorite with 44 percent of the
responses, while mobile and the digital entertainment sectors garnered 16
percent and 13 percent of the responses, respectively. KPMG conducted the
survey in collaboration with AlwaysOn, the venture capital new media
organization.
"There is no question that economic and market conditions have dealt
the IPO market a blow," said Packy Kelly, KPMG partner based in Silicon
Valley and co-leader of its venture capital practice. "These conditions
have led investment firms to hold positions longer, but will not hinder
their appetites to continue to invest in attractive sectors, such as
greentech and mobile, as they anticipate a more attractive IPO market for
these companies in the near future."
When asked how the slumping economy and unstable market have affected
exit timelines, 67 percent of respondents said their timeline has been
extended by more than 12 months, while 19 percent indicated a delay of six
to 12 months.
Where is the VC money going?
When asked to identify the industries that would receive the most
venture funding in 2009, 27 percent indicated greentech, which was followed
by digital entertainment at 23 percent, mobile at 20 percent, and life
sciences at 16 percent. In fact, with regard to greentech investment
specifically, 70 percent of respondents said they expect an increase of 10
percent or more in 2009. With the steep increases in energy prices, it may
come as no surprise that the sectors expected to see the most funding in
2009, according to KPMG survey respondents, are: alternative fuels (39
percent), solar power (22 percent), clean automobiles (14 percent) and wind
power (11 percent).
The digital entertainment industry will also remain an attractive
investment opportunity for venture capitalists in 2009, and 43 percent of
respondents expect the bulk of the funding to go toward the mobile
applications sector, followed by social media at 25 percent and content
development at 20 percent.
Venture capitalists also indicated that they expect to see an increase
in sector and geography-specific venture funds next year, similar to those
recently launched by numerous VC firms that focus on greentech, mobile and
China. In fact, 55 percent of respondents indicated that they expect the
number of niche funds to increase by 15 percent or more in 2009.
In addition to China and India, the KPMG study also found that
investors expect other emerging markets to become attractive venture
capital investment opportunities over the coming years. In fact, 41 percent
of respondents indicated that beyond China and India, Brazil will be the
most attractive market five years from now. Russia (19 percent), Israel (14
percent) and Qatar (9 percent) are also expected to be attractive
investment geographies for venture capitalists five years from now.
"There is a clear indication that growth investors have become more
global, spreading their capital worldwide," said Brian Hughes, KPMG partner
based in Philadelphia and co-leader of its venture capital practice. "Not
surprisingly, they continue to be bullish on emerging markets and industry
sectors that project the most growth in the near future."
KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm (http://www.us.kpmg.com), is the
U.S. member firm of KPMG International. KPMG International's member firms
have 123,000 professionals, including more than 7,100 partners, in 145
countries.
Contact: Manuel Goncalves
KPMG LLP
Tel: (201) 307-7735
[email protected]
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