Fitch: Difficult Times Ahead for U.S. Dealer Floorplan ABS in 2H’08
2008-08-06 10:01:00
Fitch: Difficult Times Ahead for U.S. Dealer Floorplan ABS in 2H’08
NEW YORK & CHICAGO–(EMWNews)–The weakened U.S. economy, declining dealership profitability impacted
by a stressed U.S. vehicle sales environment, and the weak credit
profiles of U.S. auto manufacturers will lead to worsening asset
performance of U.S. auto-related dealer floorplan asset-backed
securities during second half-2008 (2H’08), according to Fitch Ratings.
Dealer floorplan ABS, including those supported by auto-related
receivables, has performed within expectations through the second
quarter-2008 (2Q’08) in spite of the increased concerns, resulting in
rating affirmations on all outstanding dealer floorplan ABS
transactions, as per Fitch’s recently completed comprehensive portfolio
review.
However, Senior Director Ravi Gupta says that the expected continued
financial weakness of U.S. auto manufacturers and dealers may begin to
manifest itself in a declining asset performance outlook of auto-related
dealer floorplan ABS. Particular stress may be experienced in monthly
payment rates (MPR) for these transactions as an already weak new
vehicle sales environment may be further impacted by the expected
curtailments in retail vehicle lease financing programs offered by
captive finance companies of the major auto manufacturers.
“Rating volatility in the auto-related dealer floorplan sector also has
the potential to increase in the second half of this year,” said Gupta.
“In contrast, diversified floorplan, or non-auto related, receivables
are expected to continue to demonstrate rating stability despite
weakness related to the softening U.S. economy.”
Fitch’s new research report provides an overview and further details on
the U.S. floorplan ABS sector resulting from the annual portfolio review
and provides commentary on the lifetime performance of 18 outstanding
transactions rated by Fitch totaling approximately $23.9 billion.
Additionally, the report provides an overview of dealer floorplan
mechanics, describes key performance variables, and summarizes
performance trends through May 2008.
Fitch conducts is dealer floorplan ABS review annually in addition to
ongoing monthly transaction surveillance. This review included
transactions supported by auto-related as well as diversified (non-auto
related) floorplan receivables currently rated by Fitch and is detailed
in the new research report, ‘U.S. Dealer Floorplan ABS – Checking up on
Dealers’, which is available at www.fitchratings.com
under the following headers:
Structured Finance then ABS then Special Reports
Fitch’s rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are
available on the agency’s public site, www.fitchratings.com.
Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this
site, at all times. Fitch’s code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts
of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies
and procedures are also available from the ‘Code of Conduct’ section of
this site.
Fitch Ratings Bella, Jr., +1-212-908-0243 (New York) +1-312-368-2058 (Chicago) Relations, New York) |
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