Renowned physicist and astronomer, Professor Peter Becker of George Mason University, issues a cautionary statement regarding the potential impact of heightened solar activity on global internet infrastructure. As the Sun enters a more active phase within its 11-year cycle, the professor warns that the Earth may face disruptions caused by solar storms, ranging from solar flares to coronal mass ejections, which could distort the planet’s magnetic field.
Expressing concern over the vulnerability of contemporary internet systems, Professor Becker highlights that this era marks the first time in history when increased solar activity coincides with global dependence on the internet for communication and economic functions. Drawing parallels to the Carrington Event of 1859, which disrupted the telegraph system, he emphasizes the potential severity of the consequences, recalling instances of operators being electrocuted.
In response to these threats, Professor Becker and his research team have been diligently developing an early warning system to provide sufficient lead time for protective measures. The system aims to enable timely adjustments such as placing satellites in safe mode or disconnecting transformers from the grid to prevent damage during solar storms. The initiative has garnered significant support, as evidenced by a federal grant exceeding $13 million received in collaboration with the Naval Research Laboratory.
Despite these efforts, accurately predicting the occurrence of solar storms remains challenging, akin to the unpredictability of earthquakes. Professor Becker likens the current state of internet infrastructure to being inadequately prepared for the potential disruptions, asserting that the internet was not designed to withstand this level of interference.
Addressing concerns about the lack of corporate incentive to fortify the internet against such threats, Professor Becker emphasizes the urgent need to “harden the internet” for long-term protection. He stresses that the period from 2024 to 2028 presents a critical window during which an extreme solar flare could conceivably disrupt the entire internet for weeks to months, leading to global repercussions, including a potential worldwide recession.
In light of these palpable risks, Professor Becker underscores the imperative for proactive measures to safeguard against a scenario that could have profound and far-reaching implications, extending beyond mere inconvenience to a potential global economic downturn.
