Business News

Canadian Oil Sands Trust raises quarterly distribution to $1.25 per Trust unit

2008-07-29 16:06:00

Canadian Oil Sands Trust raises quarterly distribution to $1.25 per Trust unit

    All financial figures are unaudited and in Canadian dollars unless



    otherwise noted.



    TSX - COS.UN



    CALGARY, July 29 /EMWNews/ - Canadian Oil Sands Trust

("Canadian Oil Sands", the "Trust" or "we") today announced that cash from

operating activities in the second quarter of 2008 increased 27 per cent to

$413 million ($0.86 per Trust unit ("Unit")), over the same 2007 period.

Year-to-date, cash from operating activities was up 62 per cent to $854

million ($1.78 per Unit) compared with the 2007 six-month period. The

increase in cash from operating activities on both a quarter and

year-to-date basis reflects a higher realized selling price for our

synthetic crude oil partially offset by lower sales volumes and higher

operating and Crown royalties expenses.



    Net income for the second quarter 2008 was $497 million ($1.04 per

Unit) compared with a net loss of $395 million ($0.82 per Unit) for the

2007 period. Year-to-date, net income totaled $795 million ($1.66 per Unit)

in 2008 compared with a net loss of $133 million ($0.28 per Unit) for 2007.

In the second quarter of 2007 the Trust recorded a one time future income

tax expense of $701 million for the substantive enactment of trust taxation

legislation, resulting in net losses for the 2007 second quarter and

year-to-date periods.



    The Trust has declared a 25 per cent increase in the quarterly

distribution amount to $1.25 per Unit from $1.00 per Unit for Unitholders

of record on August 15, 2008, payable on August 29, 2008.



    Sales volumes quarter-over-quarter and on a year-to-date basis were

lower in 2008 compared with 2007. In 2008, sales volumes averaged about

97,700 barrels per day and 98,500 barrels per day during the second quarter

and first half of the year, respectively. Second quarter 2008 sales volumes

were primarily impacted by a scheduled coker turnaround while the first

quarter was marked by a disruption in operations and reliability challenges

in bitumen production and extraction.



    Operating costs in the second quarter of 2008 rose 39 per cent to

$41.92 per barrel from the comparative 2007 quarter. For the first half

2008, operating costs were $38.90 per barrel, up 46 per cent from the same

period last year. The increase primarily reflects operational difficulties

during the first half of the year, higher bitumen production costs with

more mining activity, and the purchase of third-party bitumen to support

the expanded capacity of the upgrader. As well, purchased energy costs rose

with higher natural gas consumption and prices in 2008.



    "As we entered the third quarter of 2008, operational reliability has

improved with Syncrude achieving near design capacity rates in June and

July. While the third quarter will also be impacted by a scheduled coker

turnaround, confidence in Syncrude's operations for the remainder of the

year and buoyant crude oil prices encourage us to once again increase our

quarterly distribution," said Marcel Coutu, President and Chief Executive

Officer. "A principle tenet of our financial plan is to provide investors

with a fuller payout of the cash generated by our business during periods

of lower capital investment in order to manage an efficient capital

structure for the Trust."



    In the second quarter of 2008, Syncrude's total recordable injury rate

was 0.59 for every 200,000 hours worked compared to a rate of 0.70 recorded

for the same period of 2007.




CANADIAN OIL SANDS TRUST Highlights (millions of Canadian Three Months Ended Six Months Ended dollars, except Trust June 30 June 30 unit and volume amounts) 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net Income $ 497 $ (395) $ 795 $ (133) Per Trust unit- Basic $ 1.04 $ (0.82) $ 1.66 $ (0.28) Per Trust unit- Diluted $ 1.04 $ (0.82) $ 1.65 $ (0.28) Cash from Operating Activities $ 413 $ 324 $ 854 $ 526 Per Trust unit $ 0.86 $ 0.68 $ 1.78 $ 1.10 Unitholder Distributions $ 481 $ 191 $ 841 $ 335 Per Trust unit $ 1.00 $ 0.40 $ 1.75 $ 0.70 Sales Volumes(1) Total (MMbbls) 8.9 9.0 17.9 18.8 Daily average (bbls) 97,744 98,720 98,463 103,822 Operating Costs per barrel $ 41.92 $ 30.13 $ 38.90 $ 26.70 Net Realized SCO Selling Price per barrel $ 131.32 $ 76.81 $ 115.76 $ 72.56 West Texas Intermediate (average $US per barrel)(2) $ 123.80 $ 65.02 $ 111.12 $ 61.68 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) The Trust's sales volumes differ from its production volumes due to changes in inventory, which are primarily in-transit pipeline volumes, and are net of purchased crude oil volumes. (2) Pricing obtained from Bloomberg. 2008 Outlook The Trust is estimating Syncrude production to be 106 million barrels in 2008 with a range of 103 to 109 million barrels (net to the Trust, equivalent to 39 million barrels with a range of 38 to 40 million barrels). This production estimate was slightly reduced from the one provided on April 28, 2008, to reflect actual production volumes in the first half of the year. The Trust has increased its average annual operating cost estimate for 2008 to $35.46 per barrel. Cash from operating activities is estimated to be $4.90 per Unit, based on an average WTI price of US$120 per barrel in 2008. More information on the Trust's Outlook is provided in the MD&A section of this report and the July 29, 2008 guidance document, which is available on the Trust's web site at http://www.cos-trust.com under "investor information". Mining Association of Canada awards Syncrude for 2007 sustainability performance Syncrude received five 2007 performance awards from the Mining Association of Canada ("MAC") under its Towards Sustainable Mining ("TSM") initiative. TSM is a benchmarking program that assesses company performance in the areas of Tailings Management, Energy and Greenhouse Gas ("GHG") Management, Crisis Management, and External Outreach. Syncrude has participated in this program since inception and had its results externally verified in both 2006 and 2007. Syncrude received two awards for attaining the highest level of performance in Crisis Management and External Outreach and two for meeting MAC's established benchmark standard in Tailings Management and Energy/GHG Management. Syncrude was also presented with a special award for being the first MAC member to meet the established benchmark in all categories. Canada's oil sands: a different conversation Canada's oil sands producers and developers have joined together to engage Canadians and other interested individuals in an open discussion about oil sands development, and to foster a collaborative process that will create better understanding and solutions to the related environmental and social issues. A central component of this "different conversation" is a new website (http://www.canadasoilsands.ca) that features a public discussion forum through which Canadians and other interested parties can express their views regarding oil sands development. Over time, producers intend to engage with interested parties directly through the site, responding to issues and proposing solutions. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS The following Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") was prepared as of July 29, 2008 and should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim consolidated financial statements of Canadian Oil Sands Trust ("Canadian Oil Sands" or the "Trust") for the six months ended June 30, 2008 and June 30, 2007, and the audited consolidated financial statements and MD&A of the Trust for the year ended December 31, 2007 and the Trust's Annual Information Form ("AIF") dated March 15, 2008. Additional information on the Trust including its AIF is available on SEDAR at http://www.sedar.com or on the Trust's website at http://www.cos-trust.com. ADVISORY - in the interest of providing the Trust's Unitholders and potential investors with information regarding the Trust, including management's assessment of the Trust's future production and cost estimates, plans and operations, certain statements throughout this MD&A and the press release accompanying it contain "forward-looking statements" under applicable securities law. Forward-looking statements in this MD&A include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: the expectation that a target net debt of $1.6 billion will allow the Trust to maintain a stable credit rating, conserve tax deductions, remain unhedged and provide the capacity to fund future growth; the expected structure to be assumed given the Federal government's tax changes effective in 2011; distributing a fuller amount of cash from operating activities; the belief that distributions will exceed net income at times over the next several years; expectations regarding future distribution levels; the expected tax rate by the federal government on the Trust in 2011; the cost estimate for the SER project and the expectation that the SER project will significantly reduce total sulphur dioxide and other emissions; the completion date for the SER project; the expected impact on the Trust from announced changes by the Alberta government regarding its royalty regime; any expectations regarding the enforceability of legal rights; the expected impact of any current and future environmental legislation, including without limitation, regulations relating to tailings, or changes to the Crown royalties regime; the expectation that there will not be any material funding increases relative to Syncrude's future reclamation costs or pension funding for the next several years; improvements in operational reliability; the belief that the Trust will not be restricted by its net debt to total capitalization financial covenant; the expectation that no crude oil hedges will be entered into in the future; the expected realized selling price, which includes the anticipated differential to WTI, to be received in 2008 for Canadian Oil Sands' product; the potential amount payable in respect of any future income tax liability; the plans regarding future expansions of the Syncrude project and in particular all plans regarding Stage 4 development; the level of energy consumption in 2008 and beyond; capital expenditures for 2008; the level of natural gas consumption in 2008 and beyond; the expected price for crude oil and natural gas in 2008; the expected production, revenues and operating costs for 2008; and the anticipated impact that certain factors such as natural gas and oil prices, foreign exchange and operating costs have on the Trust's cash from operating activities and net income. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as there can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or expectations upon which they are based will occur. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, that contribute to the possibility that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not occur. Although the Trust believes that the expectations represented by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Some of the risks and other factors which could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A include, but are not limited to: the impacts of regulatory changes especially as such relate to royalties, taxation, and environmental charges; the impact of technology on operations and processes and how new complex technology may not perform as expected, labour shortages and the productivity achieved from labour in the Fort McMurray area; the supply and demand metrics for oil and natural gas; the impact that pipeline capacity and refinery demand have on prices for our products; the unanimous joint venture owner approval for major expansions; the variances of stock market activities generally; normal risks associated with litigation, general economic, business and market conditions; regulatory change, and such other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the reports and filings made with securities regulatory authorities by the Trust. You are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. No assurance can be given that the final legislation implementing the federal tax changes regarding income trusts will not be further changed in a manner which adversely affects the Trust and its Unitholders. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A are made as of the date of this MD&A, and unless required by law, the Trust does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. REVIEW OF SYNCRUDE OPERATIONS During the second quarter of 2008, crude oil production from the Syncrude Joint Venture ("Syncrude") totalled 24.1 million barrels, or about 265,000 barrels per day, compared with 23.9 million barrels, or about 263,000 barrels per day, during the same period of 2007. Net to the Trust, production totalled 8.9 million barrels in the second quarter of 2008 based on our 36.74 per cent working interest compared with 8.8 million barrels in 2007. Production in the second quarter of 2008 was primarily impacted by a scheduled 45-day turnaround on Coker 8-1, which began in April and was completed in mid-May. Operational problems with two sulphur plants and an extended hydrogen plant turnaround also constrained production in the quarter. These issues were resolved in May, leading to strong performance for June with volumes averaging about 361,000 barrels per day. In the second quarter of 2007, production was primarily impacted by maintenance on Coker 8-3 and a planned turnaround of the LC-Finer. Year-to-date, Syncrude produced 48.4 million barrels in 2008 or about 266,000 barrels per day, compared with 50.5 million barrels or about 279,000 barrels per day in 2007. In addition to the coker turnaround during the second quarter, first half 2008 production was impacted by a disruption in operations triggered by extremely cold weather during the first quarter. The cold weather also affected bitumen production and extraction. By comparison, production in the first half of 2007 was impacted by maintenance on Coker 8-3, Coker 8-2 and other units. Operating costs increased to $41.92 per barrel in the second quarter of 2008, up $11.79 per barrel from the same quarter last year. Year-to-date operating costs were $38.90 per barrel in 2008 versus $26.70 per barrel in 2007 (see the "Operating costs" section of this MD&A for further discussion). Syncrude's facilities have the design capability to produce approximately 375,000 barrels per day when operating at full capacity under optimal conditions and with no downtime for maintenance or turnarounds. Under normal operating conditions, scheduled downtime is required for maintenance and turnaround activities and unscheduled downtime will occur as a result of operational and mechanical problems, unanticipated repairs and other slowdowns. When allowances for such downtime are included, the daily design productive capacity of Syncrude's facilities is approximately 350,000 barrels per day on average and is referred to as "barrels per calendar day". All references to Syncrude's productive capacity in this report refer to barrels per calendar day, unless stated otherwise. The Trust's production volumes differ from its sales volumes due to changes in inventory, which are primarily in-transit pipeline volumes that vary with current production. The impact of Syncrude's 2008 operations on Canadian Oil Sands' financial results is more fully discussed later in this MD&A.
SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY RESULTS ($ millions, except per Trust Unit and 2008 2007 volume amounts) Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues(1) $ 1,177 $ 907 $ 950 $ 936 $ 690 $ 674 Net income (loss) $ 497 $ 298 $ 515 $ 361 $ (395) $ 262 Per Trust Unit, Basic $ 1.04 $ 0.62 $ 1.07 $ 0.75 $ (0.82) $ 0.55 Per Trust Unit, Diluted $ 1.04 $ 0.62 $ 1.07 $ 0.75 $ (0.82) $ 0.54 Cash from operating activities $ 413 $ 441 $ 367 $ 484 $ 324 $ 202 Per Trust Unit(2) $ 0.86 $ 0.92 $ 0.77 $ 1.01 $ 0.68 $ 0.42 Unitholder distributions $ 481 $ 360 $ 264 $ 192 $ 191 $ 144 Per Trust Unit $ 1.00 $ 0.75 $ 0.55 $ 0.40 $ 0.40 $ 0.30 Daily average sales volumes (bbls) 97,744 99,181 116,368 124,904 98,720 108,981 Net realized SCO selling price ($/bbl)(3) $131.32 $100.41 $ 88.73 $ 81.48 $ 76.81 $ 68.69 Operating costs ($/bbl)(4) $ 41.92 $ 35.93 $ 27.38 $ 20.84 $ 30.13 $ 23.56 Purchased natural gas price ($/GJ) $ 9.38 $ 7.30 $ 5.84 $ 4.99 $ 6.78 $ 6.99 West Texas Intermediate (avg. US$/bbl)(5) $123.80 $ 97.82 $ 90.50 $ 75.15 $ 65.02 $ 58.23 Foreign exchange rates (US$/Cdn$): Average $ 0.99 $ 1.00 $ 1.02 $ 0.96 $ 0.91 $ 0.85 Quarter-end $ 0.98 $ 0.97 $ 1.01 $ 1.00 $ 0.94 $ 0.87 ($ millions, except per Trust Unit and 2006 volume amounts) Q4 Q3 ------------------------------------- Revenues(1) $ 646 $ 689 Net income (loss) $ 128 $ 278 Per Trust Unit, Basic $ 0.27 $ 0.60 Per Trust Unit, Diluted $ 0.27 $ 0.59 Cash from operating activities $ 412 $ 334 Per Trust Unit(2) $ 0.88 $ 0.72 Unitholder distributions $ 140 $ 140 Per Trust Unit $ 0.30 $ 0.30 Daily average sales volumes (bbls) 110,185 95,438 Net realized SCO selling price ($/bbl)(3) $ 63.71 $ 78.43 Operating costs ($/bbl)(4) $ 23.60 $ 19.68 Purchased natural gas price ($/GJ) $ 6.51 $ 5.42 West Texas Intermediate (avg. US$/bbl)(5) $ 60.16 $ 70.60 Foreign exchange rates (US$/Cdn$): Average $ 0.88 $ 0.89 Quarter-end $ 0.86 $ 0.90 (1) Revenues after crude oil purchases and transportation expense. (2) Cash from operating activities per Trust Unit is a non-GAAP measure that is derived from cash from operating activities reported on the Trust's Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows divided by the weighted-average number of Trust Units outstanding in the period, as used in the Trust's net income per Unit calculations. (3) Net realized SCO selling price after foreign currency hedging. (4) Derived from operating costs as reported on the Trust's Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive Income, divided by the sales volumes during the period. (5) Pricing obtained from Bloomberg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- During the last eight quarters, the following items have had a significant impact on the Trust's financial results: - U.S. dollar West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") oil prices, which impact the Trust's revenues, have increased significantly over the last six quarters, reaching a high of approximately US$140 per barrel during the second quarter of 2008. - The substantive enactment of income tax legislation in June 2007 to apply a new tax on distributions from Canadian public trusts starting in 2011 resulted in an additional future income tax expense of $701 million in the second quarter of 2007. Other corporate tax rate reductions substantively enacted in the fourth and second quarters of 2007 resulted in future income tax recoveries of $153 million and $38 million in each quarter, respectively. - Syncrude's Stage 3 expansion came on-line at the end of August 2006, increasing Syncrude's productive design capacity by approximately 100,000 barrels per day with a corresponding pro-rata increase to the Trust's sales volumes, revenues, operating costs, and depletion, depreciation and accretion ("DD&A") expense. - On January 2, 2007 the Trust acquired a 1.25 per cent working interest in Syncrude from Talisman Energy Inc. Commencing in 2007, the Trust's financial results reflect a 36.74 per cent working interest in Syncrude while the 2006 financial results reflect the Trust's previous ownership of 35.49 per cent. - U.S. to Canadian dollar exchange rate fluctuations have impacted commodity pricing and have resulted in significant unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses on the revaluation of U.S. dollar denominated debt. Quarterly variances in revenues, net income, and cash from operating activities are caused by fluctuations in crude oil prices, production and sales volumes, operating costs and natural gas prices. Net income also is impacted by foreign exchange gains and losses and by future income tax amounts. A large proportion of operating costs are fixed and, as such, per barrel operating costs are highly variable to production volumes. While the supply/demand balance for crude oil affects selling prices, the impact of this equation is difficult to predict and quantify and has not displayed significant seasonality. Maintenance and turnaround activities are typically scheduled to avoid the winter months; however, the exact timing of unit shutdowns cannot be precisely scheduled, and unplanned outages may occur. Accordingly, production levels may not display reliable seasonality patterns or trends. Maintenance and turnaround costs are expensed in the period incurred and can lead to significant increases in operating costs and reductions in production in those periods. Natural gas prices are typically higher in winter months as heating demand rises, but this seasonality is significantly influenced by weather conditions and North American natural gas inventory levels. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL RESULTS In the second quarter of 2008, net income amounted to $497 million, or $1.04 per Trust unit ("Unit"), compared with a net loss of $395 million, or $0.82 per Unit, recorded in the comparable quarter in 2007. The loss in the second quarter of 2007 was primarily the result of a one time $701 million future income tax expense recorded on the substantive enactment of trust taxation legislation. In the second quarter of 2008, revenues net of crude oil purchases and transportation expense totalled approximately $1.2 billion, an increase of approximately $490 million relative to the second quarter of 2007 as a result of higher crude oil prices. Operating costs increased from $271 million in the second quarter of 2007 to $373 million in the second quarter of 2008 as a result of increased contractor and employee costs, additional mining material moved in the quarter, increased energy costs and bitumen purchases. Operating costs in both the second quarters of 2008 and 2007 reflect coker maintenance and turnarounds. Year-to-date net income totaled $795 million, or $1.66 per Unit in 2008 compared with a net loss of $133 million, or $0.28 per Unit, recorded in 2007. The improvement in net income primarily was the result of higher revenues net of higher operating costs and Crown royalties in 2008 without the impact of the one time future income tax expense of $701 million that was recorded in 2007. Cash from operating activities increased to $413 million for the second quarter of 2008 versus $324 million for the second quarter of 2007. Year-to-date cash from operating activities increased to $854 million for 2008 versus $526 million for 2007. The increase in cash from operating activities was the result of the higher revenues net of increases in operating expenses, Crown royalties and changes in non-cash working capital. Changes in non-cash working capital decreased cash from operating activities by $162 million in the second quarter of 2008, primarily as a result of higher accounts receivable at June 30, 2008 from stronger sales volumes and pricing in the month of June 2008 versus March 2008. In the second quarter of 2007, changes in non-cash working capital increased cash from operating activities by $57 million, primarily as a result of lower accounts receivable at June 30, 2007 relative to March 31, 2007. Year-to-date changes in non-cash working capital decreased cash from operating activities by $136 million in 2008, primarily as a result of higher accounts receivable net of higher accounts payable at June 30, 2008 relative to December 31, 2007. In the same period of 2007, changes in non-cash working capital decreased cash from operating activities by $37 million primarily as a result of higher accounts receivable and lower accounts payable at June 30, 2007 relative to December 31, 2007. Non-cash working capital and changes therein can vary on a period-by-period basis as a result of the timing and settlements of accounts receivable and accounts payable balances, and are impacted by a number of factors including changes in revenue, operating expenses, Crown royalties, the timing of capital expenditures, and inventory fluctuations.
Net Income (Loss) per Barrel Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 ($ per bbl)(1) 2008 2007 Variance 2008 2007 Variance ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues after crude oil purchases and transportation expense 132.34 76.81 55.53 116.30 72.56 43.74 Operating costs (41.92) (30.13) (11.79) (38.90) (26.70) (12.20) Crown royalties (19.94) (9.94) (10.00) (17.24) (9.75) (7.49) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 70.48 36.74 33.74 60.16 36.11 24.05 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Non-production costs (1.79) (1.72) (0.07) (1.83) (1.75) (0.08) Administration and insurance (0.97) (0.83) (0.14) (0.86) (0.74) (0.12) Interest, net (1.87) (2.50) 0.63 (1.85) (2.49) 0.64 Depletion, depreciation and accretion (11.39) (8.51) (2.88) (11.37) (8.50) (2.87) Foreign exchange gain (loss) 0.51 6.98 (6.47) (1.17) 3.75 (4.92) Future income tax (expense) recovery and other 1.12 (74.06) 75.18 1.34 (33.46) 34.80 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (14.39) (80.64) 66.25 (15.74) (43.19) 27.45 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income (loss) per barrel 56.09 (43.90) 99.99 44.42 (7.08) 51.50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales volumes (MMbbls) 8.9 9.0 (0.1) 17.9 18.8 (0.9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) Unless otherwise specified, net income (loss) and other per barrel measures in this MD&A have been derived by dividing the relevant revenue or cost item by the sales volumes in the period. Non-GAAP Financial Measures In this MD&A we refer to financial measures that do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP"). These non-GAAP financial measures include cash from operating activities on a per Unit basis, net debt, total capital and certain per barrel measures. These non-GAAP financial measures provide additional information that we believe is meaningful regarding the Trust's operational performance, its liquidity and its capacity to fund distributions, capital expenditures and other investing activities. Users are cautioned that non-GAAP financial measures presented by the Trust may not be comparable with measures provided by other entities.
Revenues after Crude Oil Purchases and Transportation Expense Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 ($ millions) 2008 2007 Variance 2008 2007 Variance ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales revenue(1) $ 1,285 $ 804 $ 481 $ 2,310 $ 1,585 $ 725 Crude oil purchases (101) (109) 8 (210) (208) (2) Transportation expense (8) (9) 1 (18) (19) 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,176 686 490 2,082 1,358 724 Currency hedging gains(1) 1 4 (3) 2 6 (4) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- $ 1,177 $ 690 $ 487 $ 2,084 $ 1,364 $ 720 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales volumes (MMbbls)(2) 8.9 9.0 (0.1) 17.9 18.8 (0.9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) The sum of sales revenue and currency hedging gains equals Revenues on the Trust's Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive Income. Sales revenue includes revenue from the sale of purchased crude oil and sulphur revenue. (2) Sales volumes, net of purchased crude oil volumes. ($ per barrel) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Realized SCO selling price before hedging(3) $131.22 $ 76.41 $ 54.81 $115.66 $ 72.26 $ 43.40 Currency hedging gains 0.10 0.40 (0.30) 0.10 0.30 (0.20) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net realized SCO selling price $131.32 $ 76.81 $ 54.51 $115.76 $ 72.56 $ 43.20 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (3) SCO sales revenue after crude oil purchases and transportation expense divided by sales volumes, net of purchased crude oil volumes. The increase in sales revenue for 2008 versus 2007 on a quarterly and on a year-to-date basis was due to a higher realized selling price for our synthetic crude oil ("SCO") offset by a slight decline in sales volumes. The increase in the SCO selling price primarily reflects the increase in WTI prices in 2008. During the second quarter of 2008, WTI prices averaged US$123.80 per barrel compared to US$65.02 per barrel for the second quarter of 2007. Year-to-date, WTI prices averaged US$111.12 per barrel in 2008 versus US$61.68 per barrel in 2007. The increase in US dollar WTI prices was tempered by a stronger Canadian dollar, which averaged $0.99 US/Cdn year-to-date in 2008 compared with $0.88 US/Cdn in 2007, and averaged $0.99 US/Cdn for the second quarter of 2008 compared with $0.91 US/Cdn for the second quarter of 2007. In addition to the increase in WTI prices, our SCO continued to receive a premium to Canadian dollar WTI (the "differential") in 2008. In the second quarter of 2008, the Trust's SCO realized a weighted-average premium of $4.05 per barrel compared with the average Canadian dollar WTI price versus a premium of $4.85 per barrel in the same period in 2007. Year-to-date in 2008, the Trust's SCO realized a weighted-average premium of $2.87 per barrel relative to the average Canadian dollar WTI price versus a premium of $2.28 per barrel for 2007. We believe that the modest improvement in the differential in 2008 on a year-to-date basis was due to a tighter supply/demand balance for SCO. The Trust's sales volumes for the second quarter of 2008 averaged about 97,700 barrels per day versus an average of about 98,700 barrels per day in the second quarter of 2007. Year-to-date sales volumes averaged about 98,500 barrels per day in 2008 versus an average of about 103,800 barrels per day for 2007. Sales volumes for 2008 were impacted by the scheduled turnaround of Coker 8-1 during the second quarter and by operational difficulties during the first quarter. Sales volumes in 2007 were impacted by maintenance on Coker 8-3, Coker 8-2 and other units.
Operating Costs Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl Bitumen SCO Bitumen SCO Bitumen SCO Bitumen SCO ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bitumen Costs(1) Bitumen production(2) 15.30 10.73 15.71 10.40 Purchased energy(2),(4) 3.40 2.53 3.77 2.65 Purchased bitumen 2.43 - 1.90 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 21.13 26.21 13.26 16.43 21.38 25.46 13.05 15.90 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Upgrading Costs(3) Bitumen processing and upgrading(2) 6.27 5.26 6.06 5.04 Turnaround and catalysts 3.54 2.90 2.08 1.91 Purchased energy(4) 4.47 2.32 3.83 2.59 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 14.28 10.48 11.97 9.54 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Other and research(2) 3.05 2.39 2.18 1.15 Change in treated and untreated inventory (1.48) 0.14 (0.64) (0.22) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Syncrude operating costs 42.06 29.44 38.97 26.37 Canadian Oil Sands adjustments(5) (0.14) 0.69 (0.07) 0.33 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total operating costs 41.92 30.13 38.90 26.70 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (thousands of barrels per day) Bitumen SCO Bitumen SCO Bitumen SCO Bitumen SCO ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Syncrude production volumes(6) 327 265 325 263 323 266 339 279 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) Bitumen costs relate to the removal of overburden, oil sands mining, bitumen extraction and tailings dyke construction and disposal costs. The costs are expressed on a per barrel of bitumen production basis and converted to a per barrel of SCO based on the effective yield of SCO from the processing and upgrading of bitumen. (2) Prior year information has been restated for comparative purposes to conform to a revised presentation of costs. (3) Upgrading costs include the production and ongoing maintenance costs associated with processing and upgrading of bitumen to SCO. It also includes the costs of major upgrading equipment turnarounds and catalyst replacement, all of which are expensed as incurred. (4) Natural gas prices averaged $9.38/GJ and $6.78/GJ in the second quarter of 2008 and 2007, respectively. For the first six months of the year, natural gas costs averaged $8.27/GJ and $6.90/GJ in 2008 and 2007, respectively. (5) Canadian Oil Sands' adjustments mainly pertain to Syncrude-related pension costs, as well as the inventory impact of moving from production to sales as Syncrude reports per barrel costs based on production volumes and the Trust reports based on sales volumes. (6) Syncrude production volumes include the impact of processed purchased bitumen volumes. Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 ($/bbl of SCO) 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Production costs 33.23 24.68 30.58 20.88 Purchased energy 8.69 5.45 8.32 5.82 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total operating costs 41.92 30.13 38.90 26.70 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (GJs/bbl of SCO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Purchased energy consumption 0.93 0.80 1.01 0.84 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- In the second quarter of 2008, operating costs were $373 million, averaging $41.92 per barrel, an increase of $102 million, or $11.79 per barrel, over the second quarter of 2007 operating costs of $271 million. Operating costs in both the second quarters of 2008 and 2007 reflect coker maintenance and turnarounds. Year-to-date operating costs were $697 million in 2008, averaging $38.90 per barrel, an increase of $195 million, or $12.20 per barrel over 2007. The increase in costs for the reported periods is primarily due to the following: - Additional overburden material was moved during the first and second quarters of 2008 versus 2007. Syncrude also increased its use of contracted equipment and operators to supplement its own material movement activities in 2008 in order to re-establish exposed mineable ore inventory and meet operational requirements; - increased costs for contractors and wages for Syncrude staff on a quarterly and on a year-to-date basis as a result of inflationary pressures and contract settlements; - the purchase of incremental bitumen in 2008 to support production during times of internal bitumen supply shortfalls; - inflationary pressure for materials and consumables; - additional costs during the first quarter of 2008 associated with resuming shipments at Syncrude following the disruption of operations early in the year; - higher energy costs reflecting higher natural gas prices and increased natural gas consumption on per barrel basis due to operational inefficiencies during 2008; and - an increase in the value of Syncrude's long term incentive plan in 2008 versus 2007. A portion of Syncrude's long-term incentive plans is based on the market return performance of several Syncrude owners' shares and units, the market performance of which was stronger in the first half of 2008 relative to the same period in 2007. Operating costs per barrel also have increased in 2008 on a year-to-date basis as a result of reduced production volumes in 2008 versus 2007. A significant portion of Syncrude's operating costs are fixed and as such, any change in production impacts per unit operating costs. While inflationary pressures are expected to persist, improvements in operational reliability should help to reduce the costs related to the operational inefficiencies experienced during 2008. Non-Production Costs Non-production costs totalled $16 million and $15 million in the second quarters of 2008 and 2007, respectively. Year-to-date non-production costs totalled $33 million for both 2008 and 2007. Non-production costs consist primarily of development expenditures relating to capital programs, which are expensed, such as: commissioning costs, pre-feasibility engineering, technical and support services, research and development, and regulatory and stakeholder consultation expenditures. Non-production costs can vary on a periodic basis depending on the number of projects underway and the status of the projects. Crown Royalties In the second quarter of 2008, Crown royalties increased to $178 million, or $19.94 per barrel, from $89 million, or $9.94 per barrel, in the comparable 2007 quarter. Year-to-date Crown royalties increased to $309 million, or $17.24 per barrel, in 2008 from $183 million, or $9.75 per barrel in 2007. The increase in royalties in 2008 on both a quarterly and a year-to-date basis was primarily due to significantly increased revenues partially offset by higher operating costs. Potential changes to Crown royalty terms by the Alberta government are discussed later in this MD&A.
Interest Expense, Net Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Interest expense on long-term debt $ 18 $ 24 $ 38 $ 49 Interest income and other (2) (1) (5) (2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Interest expense, net $ 16 $ 23 $ 33 $ 47 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Trust's net interest expense in 2008 has decreased relative to the comparable periods in 2007 due to reduced average net debt outstanding. Depreciation, Depletion and Accretion Expense Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ($ millions) 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Depreciation and depletion expense $ 98 $ 74 $ 197 $ 154 Accretion expense 4 3 7 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- $ 102 $ 77 $ 204 $ 159 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- The increase in depreciation and depletion ("D&D") expense in 2008 on a quarterly and on a year-to-date basis versus 2007 was due to a higher per barrel D&D rate. In 2008 the D&D rate per barrel of production increased to $11.07 from $8.31 in 2007 as a result of higher projected capital cost estimates for Syncrude in the Trust's December 31, 2007 independent reserves report. Foreign Exchange Loss (Gain) Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 ($ millions) 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain) $ (8) $ (76) $ 26 $ (87) Realized foreign exchange loss (gain) 3 13 (5) 17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total foreign exchange loss (gain) $ (5) $ (63) $ 21 $ (70) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unrealized foreign exchange ("FX") gains and losses are the result of revaluations of our U.S. dollar denominated long-term debt caused by fluctuations in U.S. and Canadian dollar exchange rates. The unrealized FX gains and losses reported in 2008 resulted from the change in the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar to $0.98 US/Cdn at June 30, 2008 from $0.97 US/Cdn at March 31, 2008 and $1.01 US/Cdn at December 31, 2007. The unrealized FX gains in 2007 were due to the change in the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar to $0.94 US/Cdn at June 30, 2007 from $0.87 US/Cdn at March 31, 2008 and $0.86 US/Cdn at December 31, 2007. Future Income Tax and Other In the second quarter of 2008, a $10 million future income tax recovery was recorded on the reduction of temporary differences versus a future income tax expense of $665 million in the second quarter of 2007. On a year-to-date basis, a future income tax recovery of $24 million was recorded in 2008 on the reduction of temporary differences compared with a future income tax expense of $628 million in 2007. Prior to the substantive enactment of Bill C-52 in June 2007, the federal government's legislation to tax distributions from income trusts commencing in 2011, Canadian Oil Sands' future income taxes reflected only those temporary differences in the Trust's subsidiaries. Upon the substantive enactment of Bill C-52, Canadian Oil Sands recorded a one-time $701 million future income tax expense and a corresponding future income tax liability related to the differences between the accounting and tax basis of the Trust's assets and liabilities. In June 2008, Bill C-50, which contains legislation to adjust the deemed provincial component on the tax rate on distributions from income and royalty trusts expected to apply to Canadian Oil Sands commencing in 2011, passed third reading in the House of Commons. Under this legislation, we expect the provincial component of the tax applicable to Canadian Oil Sands will be reduced from 13 per cent to 10 per cent as substantially all of Canadian Oil Sands' activities are in Alberta. For accounting purposes, however, the adjustment to the provincial component of the tax is not considered substantively enacted as the income tax regulations for the adjustment have not been finalized. If the proposal becomes enacted, we expect to record a future income tax recovery based on the temporary differences at that time. With the taxation of income trusts commencing January 1, 2011 Canadian Oil Sands is evaluating alternatives as to the best structure for its Unitholders in the future. On July 14, 2008, the Department of Finance released proposed conversion rules for income and royalty trusts. The draft rules, which are subject to comments by interested parties by September 15, 2008, are designed to permit income and royalty trusts to convert into public corporations and wind up without triggering adverse tax consequences to the income or royalty trust and its Unitholders. We are assessing the draft rules and their implications to the Trust. However, until the draft legislation is finalized and ultimately passed into law, we will not be able to complete our evaluation. Subject to the finalization of the conversion rules, we plan to retain the flow-through advantages of a trust structure until 2011 unless circumstances arise that favour a faster transition to an alternate structure. Canadian Oil Sands continues to be a long-term value investment in the oil sands and does not rely on the tax efficiency of a flow-through trust model to sustain its business. Our long-life reserves and non-declining production profile provide a solid foundation to generate future cash from operating activities. CHANGES IN ACCOUNTING POLICIES In its audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2007 ("Audited 2007 Financial Statements"), Canadian Oil Sands adopted the requirements of the Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants ("CICA") Section 3862 Financial Instruments - Disclosures, Section 3863 Financial Instruments - Presentation and Section 1535 - Capital Disclosures. These standards were effective January 1, 2008, however, early adoption was encouraged by the CICA. Additional disclosures required as a result of adopting the standards can be found in the Trust's Audited 2007 Financial Statements. In June 2007, the CICA issued a new accounting standard Section 3031 Inventories, which replaces the existing standard for inventories, Section 3030. The main features of the new section are as follows:
- measurement of inventories at the lower of cost and net realizable value; - consistent use of either first-in, first-out or a weighted average cost formula to measure cost; and - reversal of previous write-downs to net realizable value when there is a subsequent increase to the value of inventories. The new inventory standard is effective for the Trust beginning January 1, 2008. Application of the new standard did not have an impact on the Trust's financial statements. NEW ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS In February 2008, the CICA issued a new accounting standard, Section 3064 - Goodwill and Intangible Assets, which replaces Section 3062 - Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets, and Section 3450 - Research and Development costs. The new section establishes standards for the recognition, measurement and disclosure of goodwill and intangible assets. The section is effective for the Trust beginning January 1, 2009. Application of the new section is not expected to have a material impact on the Trust's financial statements. On February 13, 2008 the CICA Accounting Standards Board announced that Canadian public reporting issuers will be required to report under International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") starting in 2011. Canadian Oil Sands has commenced assessing the impact on our business of adopting IFRS in 2011 and is preparing for the transition accordingly.
UNITHOLDER DISTRIBUTIONS Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ($ millions) 2008 2007 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash from operating activities $ 413 $ 324 $ 854 $ 526 Net income (loss) $ 497 $ (395) $ 795 $ (133) Unitholder distributions $ 481 $ 191 $ 841 $ 335 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Excess (shortfall) of cash from operating activities over Unitholder distributions $ (68) $ 133 $ 13 $ 191 Excess (shortfall) of net income over Unitholder distributions $ 16 $ (586) $ (46) $ (468) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- In the second quarter of 2008, Unitholder distributions exceeded cash from operating activities by $68 million as a result of changes in non-cash working capital. During the quarter, changes in non-cash working capital reduced cash from operating activities by $162 million, primarily as a result of a $198 million increase in accounts receivable at June 30, 2008 relative to March 31, 2008. For the second quarter of 2008, cash from operating activities along with opening cash balances at April 1, 2008 funded the Trust's distributions, capital expenditures, and reclamation trust fund contributions. Year-to-date cash from operating activities exceeded Unitholder distributions by $13 million and, along with opening cash balances at January 1, 2008, funded the Trust's distributions, capital expenditures, and reclamation trust fund contributions. Total distributions during 2008 exceeded net income on a year-to-date basis primarily as a result of DD&A. DD&A is a non-cash item that does not affect the Trust's cash from operating activities, balance sheet strength or ability to pay distributions over the next several years. The Trust uses debt and equity financing to the extent that cash from operating activities is insufficient to fund distributions, capital expenditures, reclamation trust contributions, acquisitions and working capital changes from financing and investing activities. On July 29, 2008 the Trust declared a quarterly distribution of $1.25 per Unit in respect of the third quarter of 2008 for a total distribution of $602 million. The distribution will be paid on August 29, 2008 to Unit holders of record on August 15, 2008. Quarterly distributions are approved by our Board of Directors after considering the current and expected economic conditions, ensuring financing capacity for Canadian Oil Sands' capital requirements, and with the objective of maintaining an investment grade credit rating. The 25 per cent increase in the distribution over the previous quarter reflects the Trust's financial plan of managing its capital structure in anticipation of trust taxation in 2011. The Trust is distributing a fuller amount of cash from operating activities unless capital investment or acquisition opportunities arise that management believes offer Unitholders enhanced value. Additionally, under current market conditions, the Trust plans on raising its long-term net debt to about $1.6 billion by the end of 2010. We believe this net debt target reflects efficient capital management and will help conserve tax pools prior to trust taxation. The target is based on Syncrude's existing productive capacity and we will reconsider this target in light of Canadian Oil Sands future capital requirement plans. In determining the Trust's distributions, Canadian Oil Sands considers funding for its significant operating obligations, which are included in cash from operating activities. Such obligations include the Trust's share of Syncrude's pension and reclamation funding, which amounted to $20 million and $18 million on a year-to-date basis in 2008 and 2007, respectively, and approximated the related expense for both pension and reclamation of $25 million and $22 million for each of the periods, respectively. While our share of Syncrude's annual pension funding has increased modestly as a result of the most recent actuarial valuation and our share of Syncrude's future reclamation costs has increased, we currently do not anticipate any material increases in funding related to these items for the next few years. Debt covenants do not specifically limit the Trust's ability to pay distributions and are not expected to influence the Trust's liquidity in the foreseeable future. Aside from covenants relating to restrictions on Canadian Oil Sands' ability to sell all or substantially all of its assets or to change the nature of its business, the most restrictive financial covenant limits total debt-to-book capitalization at an amount less than 55 per cent. With a current net debt-to-book capitalization of approximately 20 per cent, a significant increase in debt or decrease in equity would be required to restrict the Trust's financial flexibility. Cash from operating activities and net income can fluctuate dramatically from period to period reflecting, among other things, variability in operational performance, WTI prices, SCO differentials to WTI and FX rates. The Trust strives to smooth out the effect of this variability on distributions by taking a longer-term view of our outlook for our operating and business environment, our net debt level relative to our target, and our capital expenditure and other commitments. In that regard, we may distribute more or less in a period than we generate in cash from operating activities or net income. Nonetheless, the highly variable nature of our cash from operating activities introduces risk in our ability to sustain or provide stability in distributions and any expectations regarding the stability or sustainability of distributions are unwarranted and should not be implied. As the Trust executes its financial plan, investors should anticipate increased variability in distributions and understand that current distribution levels may not be sustainable once we have reached our net debt target. As distributions comprise a larger percentage of cash from operating activities, the distributions will necessarily be more reflective of business performance and crude oil prices. Further, the taxation of income trusts commencing January 1, 2011 likely will materially alter our cash from operating activities, and consequently distribution levels.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES June 30 December 31 ($ millions) 2008 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Long-term debt $ 1,079 $ 1,218 Cash and cash equivalents (32) (268) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net debt(1) $ 1,047 $ 950 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unitholders' equity $ 4,147 $ 4,172 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total capitalization(2) $ 5,194 $ 5,122 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) Non-GAAP measure (2) Net debt plus Unitholders' equity Net debt to total capitalization (%) 20 19 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- As at June 30, 2008 the Trust had $840 million of credit facilities available and unutilized. In addition, the Trust had $67 million in letters of credit issued against a separate line of credit. During the second quarter of 2008, the Trust repaid $150 million of medium term notes that matured. Canadian Oil Sands has set a long-term net debt target of approximately $1.6 billion by the end of 2010. The Trust's actual net debt will fluctuate, however, as factors such as actual crude oil prices, Syncrude's operational performance, distributions, and FX rates vary from our assumptions. CAPITAL EXPENDITURES With the completion of Syncrude's Stage 3 project in 2006, Canadian Oil Sands' expansion capital expenditures have declined and capital costs for 2008 and 2007 are primarily related to sustaining capital. The Trust defines expansion capital expenditures as the costs incurred to grow the productive capacity of the operation, such as the Stage 3 project, while sustaining capital is effectively all other capital. Sustaining capital expenditures may fluctuate considerably year-to-year due to the timing of equipment replacement and other factors. The productive capacity of Syncrude's operations was previously described in the "Review of Syncrude Operations" section of this MD&A. In the second quarter of 2008, capital expenditures totalled $54 million, compared with expenditures of $50 million in the same quarter of 2007. The Syncrude Emissions Reduction ("SER") project accounted for $21 million and $19 million of the capital spent in the second quarters of 2008 and 2007, respectively. The remaining amounts in each quarter pertained to other sustaining capital activities. Sustaining capital expenditures on a per barrel basis were approximately $6.00 and $5.35 in each of the second quarters of 2008 and 2007, respectively. Year-to-date capital expenditures totalled $101 million in 2008 versus $83 million in 2007. The SER project accounted for $38 million and $34 million of the capital spent in 2008 and 2007, respectively, with the remaining expenditures relating to other sustaining capital activities. Sustaining capital expenditures on a per barrel basis were approximately $5.63 and $4.40 on a year-to-date basis in 2008 and 2007, respectively. Syncrude is undertaking the SER project to retrofit technology into the operation of Syncrude's original two cokers to significantly reduce total sulphur dioxide and other emissions. While expenditures on the SER project are estimated at approximately $772 million ($284 million net to the Trust based on its 36.74 per cent working interest) there is upward cost pressure on the project. Syncrude is currently performing a full review of the SER project and will provide updates to cost estimates and timing after such review has been completed. The Trust's share of the SER project expenditures incurred to date is approximately $144 million, with the remaining costs expected to be incurred in the next three years to coordinate with equipment turnaround schedules. Sustaining capital expenditures, including the



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