Business News
Stora Enso Interim Review January-June 2008
2008-07-24 02:26:00
Stora Enso Interim Review January-June 2008
Ever Increasing Cost Inflation Will Require Further Cost and Capacity Cuts,
as Well as Price Increases
HELSINKI, Finland, July 24 /EMWNews/ --
STORA ENSO OYJ INTERIM REVIEW 24 July 2008 at 06.00 GMT
Summary of Second Quarter Results
Continuing Operations: Q2/07 Q1/08 Q2/08
Sales EUR 2 989.9 2 831.8 2 871.8
million
Operating Profit excl. NRI EUR 222.9 140.1 94.4
and Fair Valuations million
Operating profit (IFRS) EUR 244.2 125.0 71.3
million
Profit before tax excl. NRI EUR 191.2 83.1 31.7
million
Profit before tax EUR 191.2 83.1 30.4
million
Net profit excl. NRI EUR 148.9 66.5 29.9
million
Net profit EUR 148.9 66.5 28.6
million
EPS excl. NRI EUR 0.19 0.08 0.04
EPS EUR 0.19 0.08 0.04
CEPS excl. NRI EUR 0.45 0.30 0.26
ROCE excl. NRI % 9.7 5.0 2.8
ROCE excl. NRI and fair % 8.8 5.6 3.6
valuations
Message from CEO Jouko Karvinen:
"The fastest cost inflation in the recent history of the industry,
firstly in wood costs, but now also in fuel and electricity costs, has
decreased our profits for the third consecutive quarter, now below half of
the same period a year ago. Operating profit was significantly below our
expectations especially in Wood Products, whereas the rapid cost increases
and strong Euro have hurt most of the paper and board businesses as well.
The restructuring measures we launched in late 2007 are being implemented
as planned; however, in the present environment they are clearly not
enough.
"Even with our strong overall energy balance, especially with
biofuel-based energy, the 40% increase in oil and particularly gas prices
in the past three months, in addition to the wood cost increases of the
past two years, means we must take further actions. We have announced price
increases in several paper and board grades to our customers. Escalating
costs and potentially weakening demand will also require both temporary and
permanent capacity reductions. These capacity adjustments are independent
of the outcome of the Russian wood duty negotiations; they are needed
because of unacceptable costs and the weak profitability in certain
products and production lines. We will announce specific plans still during
this current quarter. In parallel, we are preparing a second set of
capacity reduction plans in case there is no concrete and cost-improving
compromise on Russian duties soon.
"We sincerely appreciate the Finnish government's recent decision to
significantly reduce the income tax on domestic wood raw material. The
forest owners and the industry together need to turn this decision into
increased availability of fibre in Finland at competitive costs, as it is
an opportunity not only to reduce the damage of the Russian duties but also
to provide forest owners with a viable long-term customer base for their
wood. The time to act is now.
"Our forecast for overall annual unit cost inflation for 2008 is still
estimated to be about 4%. If current trends on several cost factors do not
change for the better, it is clear that this can rise further. We remain
committed to compensating for 2.5% to 3% of unit cost inflation through our
own actions.
"In the challenging environment we expect our operating profit
excluding non-recurring items and fair valuations for the third quarter of
2008 to be somewhat weaker than the second quarter of 2008. The weakening
earnings will naturally also have a negative impact on the Group's cash
flow. We continue the policy of balancing financial prudence and cash
preservation on the one hand, and investing selectively in attractive
growth opportunities for the future on the other.
"In this reality it is clear that waiting for things to get better will
do the Company nothing but great harm. This is especially true now that
uncertainty about the market outlook has changed as we see the first clear
signs of demand softness in certain grades. We will continue to take
corrective actions as rapidly and efficiently as we can in the reality we
see ahead."
Near-term Market Outlook
Forecasts of advertising expenditure in Western Europe and North
America during the rest of the year have been downgraded owing to growing
macroeconomic concerns. Print advertising expenditure in those regions is
forecast to stagnate, in contrast to positive growth in Central and Eastern
Europe and Asia.
In Europe demand for newsprint is expected to be weaker than a year
ago, but the market should remain firm with prices unchanged on the second
quarter of 2008 as the supply and demand balance has improved.
Slightly stronger demand for magazine paper than a year ago is
anticipated, but demand growth may slow down due to macroeconomic
uncertainties. The supply and demand balance has improved in uncoated and
coated magazine paper markets. Price increases have been announced and
higher prices, including biannual contracts, are foreseen in the third
quarter.
Demand for fine paper is expected to be weaker in Europe than a year
ago, and also affected by the normal seasonal downturn during the summer
holiday period. Due to severe cost inflation, price rises for both coated
und uncoated fine paper are foreseen later in the year.
Demand for consumer board is forecast to be much the same as a year ago
globally, but slightly weaker in Europe, and seasonally somewhat weaker
than in the second quarter. Prices are expected to start improving towards
the end of the year for cartonboard. The outlook for industrial packaging
is affected by the deteriorating macroeconomic prognosis, and weaker demand
in the third quarter than a year ago is foreseen. Prices for RCP-based
containerboard are expected to continue to soften and for corrugated
packaging prices are expected to be stable.
The market for wood products will remain weak. Demand in the third
quarter is forecast to be considerably weaker than a year ago, and also
slightly weaker than in the second quarter of 2008, aggravated by further
weakening of the European housing market. Prices will remain under
pressure.
In Latin America rising demand for coated magazine paper is expected to
level out after the boom in demand in the first six months of the year.
Prices are predicted to improve.
In China demand for uncoated magazine paper is forecast to improve
after a seasonally weaker summer and prices may be higher than in the
second quarter. However, the outlook for fine paper demand and prices is
expected to weaken slightly.
The full-length version of the Stora Enso interim review is available
on the Stora Enso website at http://www.storaenso.com/investors .
Stora Enso's third quarter results 2008 will be published on 23 October
2008.
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